Analisis Keberlanjutan UMKM Binaan Dinas Koperasi, UMKM, dan Perindustrian Kota Balikpapan keterangan: Judul TA-Submit Jurnal/Seminar

Khariroh, Mutiara Bening (2026) Analisis Keberlanjutan UMKM Binaan Dinas Koperasi, UMKM, dan Perindustrian Kota Balikpapan keterangan: Judul TA-Submit Jurnal/Seminar. Bachelor thesis, Institut Teknologi Kalimantan.

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Abstract

Usaha Mikro, Kecil, dan Menengah (UMKM) berperan penting dalam perekonomian daerah, namun bertambahnya jumlah UMKM binaan di Kota Balikpapan belum menjamin keberlanjutan usaha. Berdasarkan data tahun 2023, permasalahan yang paling banyak dialami pelaku usaha secara berurutan adalah pemasaran, permodalan, produksi, pelatihan, dan perizinan. Permasalahan tersebut bermuara pada keterbatasan modal serta belum seimbangnya kapasitas produksi dengan penyerapan pasar di tengah meningkatnya intensitas persaingan. Penelitian ini menganalisis keberlanjutan UMKM binaan DKUMKMP Kota Balikpapan menggunakan pendekatan sistem dinamis. Model dibangun melalui Causal Loop Diagram dan Stock and Flow Diagram dengan perangkat lunak STELLA berbasis data 2023-2025 dan disimulasikan hingga 2030. Tiga skenario diuji, yaitu (1) penguatan permodalan, (2) penguatan legalitas, pemasaran, dan digitalisasi, serta (3) kombinasi keduanya. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan Skenario 2 sebagai yang terbaik dengan laba bersih tertinggi pada 2030 sebesar Rp. 68.771.085.316 atau 11% di atas kondisi eksisting, sekaligus paling efisien karena tanpa tambahan modal kerja. Sebaliknya, penguatan permodalan (Skenario 1) tidak efektif karena tambahan kapasitas tidak terserap pasar. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa keberlanjutan UMKM binaan lebih ditentukan oleh perluasan pasar dibandingkan penambahan modal semata. Kata Kunci : Causal Loop Diagram, Keberlanjutan UMKM, Sistem Dinamis, Stock and Flow Diagram, UMKM Binaan.

Item Type: Thesis (Bachelor)
Subjects: A General Works > AI Indexes (General)
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Divisions: Jurusan Teknologi Industri dan Proses > Teknik Industri
Depositing User: Mutiara Khariroh
Date Deposited: 13 Jul 2026 02:13
Last Modified: 13 Jul 2026 02:13
URI: http://repository.itk.ac.id/id/eprint/26803

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