Pengembangan Angkutan Penyeberangan Tradisional Lintas Balikpapan - Penajam dengan Menggunakan Pendekatan Peramalan

Muhammad Noor Fadilah, Muhammad (2025) Pengembangan Angkutan Penyeberangan Tradisional Lintas Balikpapan - Penajam dengan Menggunakan Pendekatan Peramalan. Bachelor thesis, Institut Teknologi Kalimantan.

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Abstract

Penelitian ini membahas pengembangan angkutan penyeberangan tradisional pada lintas Balikpapan–Penajam di Kalimantan Timur dengan menggunakan pendekatan peramalan sebagai dasar perencanaan transportasi. Latar belakang penelitian ini didasari oleh meningkatnya kebutuhan mobilitas masyarakat akibat pertumbuhan penduduk dan aktivitas ekonomi, khususnya sejak penetapan Ibu Kota Nusantara (IKN) di wilayah Penajam Paser Utara. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meramalkan jumlah penumpang dan kendaraan di masa mendatang menggunakan metode regresi linier, serta menghitung nilai load factor untuk mengevaluasi tingkat pemanfaatan kapasitas kapal klotok. Hasil peramalan menunjukkan tren peningkatan signifikan jumlah penumpang dan kendaraan hingga tahun 2040. Nilai load factor pada trayek Balikpapan–Penajam diperkirakan akan melebihi 100% mulai tahun 2029, yang menunjukkan kebutuhan akan peningkatan kapasitas angkutan. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut, penelitian ini memberikan rekomendasi terkait kebutuhan pengembangan armada dan ukuran kapal yang sesuai guna menunjang efisiensi dan keberlanjutan transportasi penyeberangan tradisional.

Item Type:	Thesis (Bachelor)
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HA Statistics H Social Sciences > HE Transportation and Communications V Naval Science > V Naval Science (General)
Divisions:	Jurusan Sains, Teknologi Pangan, dan Kemaritiman > Teknik Perkapalan
Depositing User:	Muhammad Fadilah
Date Deposited:	14 Jul 2025 07:43
Last Modified:	14 Jul 2025 08:09
URI:	http://repository.itk.ac.id/id/eprint/24268

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