Bayhaqi, Yusriza (2026) OPTIMALISASI PORTOFOLIO SAHAM LINTAS SEKTOR DI BEI MENGGUNAKAN METODE MARKOWITZ SERTA PENGUKURAN RISIKO MENGGUNAKAN EXPECTED SHORTFALL. Bachelor thesis, Institut Teknologi Kalimantan.
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Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan komposisi portofolio saham optimal lintas sektor di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). Portofolio optimal dibentuk menggunakan Model Markowitz berdasarkan kriteria maximum Sharpe Ratio. Risiko masing-masing emiten diukur menggunakan metode Value at Risk dan Expected Shortfall pada tingkat kepercayaan 95% dengan metode Historical Simulation. Data yang digunakan berupa harga penutupan harian 11 emiten dari 11 sektor BEI periode Januari 2023–Desember 2025. Hasil pada penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa portofolio optimal terdiri atas saham ASII dengan bobot 32% dan ANTM sebesar 68%, dengan expected return harian 0,054% dan volatilitas 1,91%. Pengukuran risiko individual menunjukkan bahwa ASII memiliki Value at Risk sebesar 2,42% dan Expected Shortfall sebesar 3,63% sedangkan ANTM memiliki Value at Risk sebesar 3,97% dan Expected Shortfall sebesar 5,70%. Hasil tersebut menunjukkan bahwa kombinasi saham ASII dan ANTM mampu menurunkan sebagian risiko melalui diversifikasi dibandingkan risiko saham ANTM secara individual. Namun, berdasarkan nilai Sharpe Ratio sebesar -2,996, portofolio yang terbentuk belum mampu memberikan excess return yang lebih baik dibandingkan tingkat pengembalian bebas risiko. Selain itu, Expected Shortfall memberikan estimasi risiko yang lebih konservatif dalam menggambarkan potensi kerugian ekstrem dibandingkan Value at Risk.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor) |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics |
| Depositing User: | Yusriza Bayhaqi |
| Date Deposited: | 21 Jul 2026 06:30 |
| Last Modified: | 21 Jul 2026 06:30 |
| URI: | http://repository.itk.ac.id/id/eprint/27921 |
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